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2023 Draft
Draft recap, grade and every selection Team Lima made.
Best Pick
Justin TuckerJustin Tucker
K
Worst Pick
Chase ClaypoolChase Claypool
WR
Biggest Value
Cincinnati Bengals D/STCincinnati Bengals D/STD/ST
Biggest Reach
Chase ClaypoolChase ClaypoolWR
Draft Efficiency
26.1%
Draft Accuracy
56.3%
Hindsight
Measured against the best players still on the board at each of this team's picks — value in season points over a replacement-level starter, and what that value was worth in wins in this league.
Biggest Missed Opportunity
Joe BurrowJoe BurrowQB
Biggest Steal
Breece HallBreece Hall
RB
Points Left on the Board
850
Roster construction
How the picks split across positions, and the earliest one spent on each.
5 (31%)
First at #7
4 (25%)
First at #50
2 (13%)
First at #22
2 (13%)
First at #106
Every selection
All 16 picks in order.
Estimated Wins Left
~7.3
2 (12%)
First at #162
1 (6%)
First at #119
ADP 11.0
A strong return on the pick. Taken 4 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR9 against a WR5 slot expectation, averaged 16.1 PPG, and played all 16 scheduled games.
Value 42.9 · Production 78.8 · Availability 100 · Expectations 53
2.08
#22
Joe BurrowJoe BurrowQB22 · 14.7 PPG · 10/16 gamesCINADP 34.0
A costly bust on premium capital. Taken 12 picks ahead of ADP, finished QB22 against a QB3 slot expectation, averaged 14.7 PPG, and played 10 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 28.6 · Production 41.9 · Availability 75.9 · Expectations 0
3.07
#35
Deebo Samuel Sr.Deebo Samuel Sr.WR14 · 17.0 PPG · 14/16 games
SFADP 35.0
A strong return on the pick. Finished WR14, averaged 17.0 PPG, and played 14 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 50 · Production 78.1 · Availability 94.4 · Expectations 57.9
4.08
#50
Breece HallBreece HallRB4 · 16.3 PPG · 16/16 gamesNYJADP 48.0
An outstanding return on the pick. Drafted 2 picks after ADP, finished RB4 against a RB18 slot expectation, averaged 16.3 PPG, and played all 16 scheduled games.
Value 53.6 · Production 80.9 · Availability 100 · Expectations 91.8
5.07
#63
Tyler LockettTyler LockettWR34 · 11.6 PPG · 16/17 games
SEAADP 69.0
A fair return on the pick. Taken 6 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR34 against a WR25 slot expectation, averaged 11.6 PPG, and played 16 of 17 scheduled games.
Value 39.3 · Production 55.2 · Availability 98 · Expectations 13.6
6.08
#78
Kirk CousinsKirk CousinsQB21 · 18.7 PPG · 8/16 games
ATLADP 85.0
A disappointing return. Taken 7 picks ahead of ADP, finished QB21 against a QB12 slot expectation, averaged 18.7 PPG, and played 8 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 37.5 · Production 68.5 · Availability 67.1 · Expectations 0
7.07
#91
Brian Robinson Jr.Brian Robinson Jr.RB20 · 13.4 PPG · 14/16 games
WSHADP 100.0
A solid return on the pick. Taken 9 picks ahead of ADP, finished RB20 against a RB33 slot expectation, averaged 13.4 PPG, and played 14 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 33.9 · Production 68.6 · Availability 94.4 · Expectations 70.6
8.08
#106
Dalton SchultzDalton SchultzTE9 · 10.1 PPG · 14/16 games
HOUADP 120.0
A solid return on the pick. Taken 14 picks ahead of ADP, finished TE9 against a TE13 slot expectation, averaged 10.1 PPG, and played 14 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 25 · Production 61.6 · Availability 94.4 · Expectations 65.8
9.07
#119
Justin TuckerJustin TuckerK1 · 9.4 PPG · 16/17 gamesBALADP 83.0
One of the best late-round values in the league. Drafted 36 picks after ADP, finished K1, averaged 9.4 PPG, played 16 of 17 scheduled games, and no K taken later outscored him.
Value 100 · Production 87.2 · Availability 98 · Expectations 70
10.08
#134
Devin SingletaryDevin SingletaryRB30 · 10.3 PPG · 15/16 games
NYGADP 150.0
A fair return on the pick. Taken 16 picks ahead of ADP, finished RB30 against a RB40 slot expectation, averaged 10.3 PPG, and played 15 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 21.4 · Production 52 · Availability 97.8 · Expectations 53
11.07
#147
Allen LazardAllen LazardWR70 · 6.1 PPG · 9/17 gamesNYJADP 160.0
A bust. Taken 13 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR70 against a WR59 slot expectation, averaged 6.1 PPG, and played 9 of 17 scheduled games.
Value 26.8 · Production 26.4 · Availability 69.2 · Expectations 10
12.08
#162
Baltimore Ravens D/STBaltimore Ravens D/STD/ST2 · 10.1 PPG · 16/16 gamesBALADP 167.0
Tremendous late-round value. Taken 5 picks ahead of ADP, finished D/ST2 against a D/ST10 slot expectation, averaged 10.1 PPG, played all 16 scheduled games, and no D/ST taken later outscored him.
Value 41.1 · Production 83.4 · Availability 100 · Expectations 97.1
13.07
#175
Chase ClaypoolChase ClaypoolWR90 · 5.9 PPG · 3/16 gamesMIAExp ~223
A bust. Taken 48 picks ahead of expectation, finished WR90 against a WR63 slot expectation, averaged 5.9 PPG, and played 3 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 0 · Production 15.3 · Availability 26.9 · Expectations 0
14.08
#190
Damien HarrisDamien HarrisRB68 · 3.2 PPG · 6/16 games
BUFADP 181.0
A bust. Drafted 9 picks after ADP, finished RB68 against a RB52 slot expectation, averaged 3.2 PPG, and played 6 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 66.1 · Production 9.8 · Availability 52.8 · Expectations 0.9
15.07
#203
Hunter HenryHunter HenryTE15 · 10.0 PPG · 12/16 games
NEADP 227.0
A disappointing return. Taken 24 picks ahead of ADP, finished TE15 against a TE22 slot expectation, averaged 10.0 PPG, and played 12 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 7.1 · Production 55.2 · Availability 84.8 · Expectations 62.6
16.08
#218
Cincinnati Bengals D/STCincinnati Bengals D/STD/ST13 · 5.4 PPG · 15/16 gamesCINADP 172.0
A solid return on the pick. Drafted 46 picks after ADP, finished D/ST13 against a D/ST18 slot expectation, averaged 5.4 PPG, and played 15 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 100 · Production 33 · Availability 97.8 · Expectations 57.1
