Season
Playoff Odds
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Season
2026 Season · Through Week 3
Every remaining matchup simulated thousands of times — scores sampled from what each team has actually put up, standings settled by the league's real tiebreakers.
Every Team
Sort by any column. Odds are the share of simulated seasons ending in a playoff berth — record only counts for the games already banked.
| Team AlphaManager A | 3-0 | 93% | 62% | +13%up since last week |
| Team IndiaManager I | 2-1 | 74% | 26% | -5%down since last week |
| Team NovemberManager N | 2-1 | 73% | 26% | +18%up since last week |
| Team JuliettManager J | 2-1 | 72% | 23% | +14%up since last week |
| Team OscarManager O | 2-1 | 62% | 18% | +12%up since last week |
| Team GolfManager G | 2-1 | 60% | 16% | +10%up since last week |
| Team FoxtrotManager F | 2-1 | 55% | 13% | -18%down since last week |
| Team LimaManager L | 1-2 | 43% | 7% | +15%up since last week |
| Team CharlieManager C | 1-2 | 30% | 4% | -21%down since last week |
| Team KiloManager K | 1-2 | 25% | 3% | -19%down since last week |
| Team HotelManager H | 0-3 | 12% | <1% | -9%down since last week |
| Team PapaManager P | 0-3 | 3% | <1% | -11%down since last week |
Seed is the mean final standing across simulations; xW is expected wins; SoS ranks the remaining schedule, 1 being the hardest.
The Cut Line
Top 6 make the field, top 2 draw a first-round bye. Grouped by simulated odds, not by today's seed.
70%+ playoff odds
Week by Week
Odds recomputed as of every completed week. Pick a team to follow its season.
How the race has moved
Each point is that week’s odds recomputed from what had actually been played — not a stored snapshot, so a corrected score rewrites history here too.
| Team | Week 0 | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Alpha | 55% | 66% | 79% | 93% |
| Team India | 57% | 71% | 78% | 74% |
| Team November | 52% | 41% | 55% | 73% |
| Team Juliett | 53% | 64% | 58% | 72% |
| Team Oscar | 48% | 66% | 50% | 62% |
| Team Golf | 52% | 39% | 50% | 60% |
| Team Foxtrot | 49% | 59% | 73% | 55% |
| Team Lima | 53% | 42% | 28% | 43% |
| Team Charlie | 54% | 63% | 51% | 30% |
| Team Kilo | 51% | 35% | 44% | 25% |
| Team Hotel | 38% | 28% | 21% | 12% |
| Team Papa | 36% | 27% | 14% | 3% |
Team by Team
Open a team for its finish distribution, remaining schedule and per-game win chances.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Chance to finish
PlayoffBubbleMissed out
Remaining schedule
Percentages are this team’s chance to win each game, from the same score model the simulations sample.
Playoff Machine
Pick a winner in any game left on the schedule and watch the seeds move. Standings, tiebreakers and the playoff field are the league's own — nothing here is saved.
Pick a winner in any game below. Nothing here is saved to the league.
Week 4
Week 5
Week 6
Week 7
Week 8
Week 9
Week 10
Week 11
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Playoff projection
Top 6 make the field, top 2 draw a bye. Ties are settled by the league’s own rules, on points scored so far.
Round one
30–70% playoff odds
Under 30% playoff odds