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2023 Draft
Draft recap, grade and every selection Team Charlie made.
Best Pick
Josh AllenJosh Allen
QB
Worst Pick
Jonathan MingoJonathan Mingo
WR
Biggest Value
San Francisco 49ers D/STSan Francisco 49ers D/STD/ST
Biggest Reach
Jonathan MingoJonathan MingoWR
Draft Efficiency
22.7%
Draft Accuracy
37.5%
Hindsight
Measured against the best players still on the board at each of this team's picks — value in season points over a replacement-level starter, and what that value was worth in wins in this league.
Biggest Missed Opportunity
Jonathan TaylorJonathan Taylor
RB
Biggest Steal
Jameson WilliamsJameson Williams
WR
Points Left on the Board
917
Roster construction
How the picks split across positions, and the earliest one spent on each.
6 (38%)
First at #66
5 (31%)
First at #38
2 (13%)
First at #19
1 (6%)
First at #10
Every selection
All 16 picks in order.
Estimated Wins Left
~7.5
1 (6%)
First at #122
1 (6%)
First at #215
ADP 5.0
An outstanding return on the pick. Drafted 5 picks after ADP, finished TE2, averaged 14.6 PPG, and played 15 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 58.9 · Production 87.3 · Availability 97.8 · Expectations 64.7
2.05
#19
Josh AllenJosh AllenQB1 · 23.1 PPG · 16/16 gamesBUFADP 20.0
An outstanding return on the pick. Taken 1 pick ahead of ADP, finished QB1, averaged 23.1 PPG, played all 16 scheduled games, and no QB taken later outscored him.
Value 48.2 · Production 93.4 · Availability 100 · Expectations 74.3
3.10
#38
Jonathan TaylorJonathan TaylorRB36 · 14.3 PPG · 9/16 gamesINDADP 67.0
A costly bust on premium capital. Taken 29 picks ahead of ADP, finished RB36 against a RB13 slot expectation, averaged 14.3 PPG, and played 9 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 0 · Production 70 · Availability 71.5 · Expectations 0
4.05
#47
Kenneth Walker IIIKenneth Walker IIIRB18 · 13.6 PPG · 14/16 games
SEAADP 50.0
A solid return on the pick. Taken 3 picks ahead of ADP, finished RB18, averaged 13.6 PPG, and played 14 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 44.6 · Production 69.7 · Availability 94.4 · Expectations 47.6
5.10
#66
Chris Godwin Jr.Chris Godwin Jr.WR30 · 12.4 PPG · 16/16 games
TBADP 56.0
A solid return on the pick. Drafted 10 picks after ADP, finished WR30 against a WR27 slot expectation, averaged 12.4 PPG, and played all 16 scheduled games.
Value 67.9 · Production 61.2 · Availability 100 · Expectations 29.4
6.05
#75
David MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRB17 · 15.2 PPG · 13/16 gamesDETADP 76.0
A strong return on the pick. Taken 1 pick ahead of ADP, finished RB17 against a RB27 slot expectation, averaged 15.2 PPG, and played 13 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 48.2 · Production 77.4 · Availability 89.2 · Expectations 68.8
7.10
#94
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR43 · 9.1 PPG · 16/16 gamesSEAADP 99.0
A fair return on the pick. Taken 5 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR43 against a WR38 slot expectation, averaged 9.1 PPG, and played all 16 scheduled games.
Value 41.1 · Production 48 · Availability 100 · Expectations 20.9
8.05
#103
Jakobi MeyersJakobi MeyersWR32 · 13.1 PPG · 15/16 games
LVADP 119.0
A fair return on the pick. Taken 16 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR32 against a WR44 slot expectation, averaged 13.1 PPG, and played 15 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 21.4 · Production 63 · Availability 97.8 · Expectations 54.2
9.10
#122
San Francisco 49ers D/STSan Francisco 49ers D/STD/ST5 · 8.1 PPG · 16/16 gamesSFADP 74.0
Tremendous late-round value. Drafted 48 picks after ADP, finished D/ST5 against a D/ST1 slot expectation, averaged 8.1 PPG, and played all 16 scheduled games.
Value 100 · Production 61.5 · Availability 100 · Expectations 41.4
10.05
#131
Zach CharbonnetZach CharbonnetOutRB43 · 6.7 PPG · 14/16 gamesSEAADP 138.0
A disappointing return. Taken 7 picks ahead of ADP, finished RB43 against a RB39 slot expectation, averaged 6.7 PPG, and played 14 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 37.5 · Production 35.1 · Availability 94.4 · Expectations 22.7
11.10
#150
K.J. OsbornK.J. OsbornWR52 · 8.4 PPG · 14/16 games
NEADP 169.0
A disappointing return. Taken 19 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR52 against a WR60 slot expectation, averaged 8.4 PPG, and played 14 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 16.1 · Production 37.6 · Availability 94.4 · Expectations 44.5
12.05
#159
Matthew StaffordMatthew StaffordQB17 · 15.7 PPG · 14/16 games
LARADP 165.0
A fair return on the pick. Taken 6 picks ahead of ADP, finished QB17 against a QB24 slot expectation, averaged 15.7 PPG, and played 14 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 39.3 · Production 55.2 · Availability 94.4 · Expectations 60
13.10
#178
Jonathan MingoJonathan MingoWR78 · 5.2 PPG · 8/16 gamesCARADP 210.0
A bust. Taken 32 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR78 against a WR65 slot expectation, averaged 5.2 PPG, and played 8 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 0 · Production 20.5 · Availability 67.1 · Expectations 6.4
14.05
#187
Tank BigsbyTank BigsbyRB78 · 5.3 PPG · 1/16 games
JAXADP 173.0
A bust. Drafted 14 picks after ADP, finished RB78 against a RB51 slot expectation, averaged 5.3 PPG, and played 1 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 75 · Production 11.5 · Availability 8 · Expectations 0
15.10
#206
Jameson WilliamsJameson WilliamsWR59 · 7.3 PPG · 11/16 gamesDETADP 190.0
A solid return on the pick. Drafted 16 picks after ADP, finished WR59 against a WR74 slot expectation, averaged 7.3 PPG, and played 11 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 78.6 · Production 34 · Availability 80.4 · Expectations 57.3
16.05
#215
Riley PattersonRiley PattersonK20 · 7.3 PPG · 6/16 gamesJAXExp ~201
A bust. Drafted 14 picks after expectation, finished K20 against a K16 slot expectation, averaged 7.3 PPG, and played 6 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 75 · Production 28.1 · Availability 52.8 · Expectations 12.9
