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2025 Draft
Draft recap, grade and every selection Team Hotel made.
Best Pick
Bijan RobinsonBijan Robinson
RB
Worst Pick
Kyle WilliamsKyle Williams
WR
Biggest Value
J.J. McCarthyJ.J. McCarthy
QB
Biggest Reach
Kyle WilliamsKyle WilliamsWR
Draft Efficiency
26.8%
Draft Accuracy
25%
Hindsight
Measured against the best players still on the board at each of this team's picks — value in season points over a replacement-level starter, and what that value was worth in wins in this league.
Biggest Missed Opportunity
Garrett WilsonGarrett Wilson
WR
Biggest Steal
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaJaxon Smith-Njigba
WR
Points Left on the Board
1,349
Roster construction
How the picks split across positions, and the earliest one spent on each.
6 (38%)
First at #24
4 (25%)
First at #1
2 (13%)
First at #97
2 (12%)
First at #144
Every selection
All 16 picks in order.
Estimated Wins Left
~8.3
1 (6%)
First at #145
1 (6%)
First at #192
ADP 2.0
An excellent pick. Taken 1 pick ahead of ADP, finished RB2, averaged 22.7 PPG, and played all 16 scheduled games.
Value 47.9 · Production 90.5 · Availability 100 · Expectations 66.9
2.12
#24
Garrett WilsonGarrett WilsonWR48 · 16.6 PPG · 6/16 gamesNYJADP 41.0
A costly bust on premium capital. Taken 17 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR48 against a WR12 slot expectation, averaged 16.6 PPG, and played 6 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 14.6 · Production 70 · Availability 52.8 · Expectations 0
3.01
#25
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR2 · 21.6 PPG · 16/16 gamesSEAADP 37.0
A strong return on the pick. Taken 12 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR2 against a WR13 slot expectation, averaged 21.6 PPG, played all 16 scheduled games, and no WR taken later outscored him.
Value 25 · Production 92.4 · Availability 100 · Expectations 89.4
4.12
#48
Calvin RidleyCalvin RidleyWR75 · 7.5 PPG · 6/16 games
TENADP 62.0
A costly bust on premium capital. Taken 14 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR75 against a WR21 slot expectation, averaged 7.5 PPG, and played 6 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 20.8 · Production 24.5 · Availability 52.8 · Expectations 0
5.01
#49
Breece HallBreece HallRB17 · 13.0 PPG · 16/16 gamesNYJADP 51.0
A solid return on the pick. Taken 2 picks ahead of ADP, finished RB17 against a RB20 slot expectation, averaged 13.0 PPG, and played all 16 scheduled games.
Value 45.8 · Production 67.6 · Availability 100 · Expectations 55.6
6.12
#72
Travis HunterTravis HunterWR59 · 9.1 PPG · 7/16 games
JAXADP 73.0
A bust. Taken 1 pick ahead of ADP, finished WR59 against a WR35 slot expectation, averaged 9.1 PPG, and played 7 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 47.9 · Production 35.2 · Availability 60.8 · Expectations 0
7.01
#73
Matthew GoldenMatthew GoldenWR64 · 6.3 PPG · 9/16 games
GBADP 79.0
A bust. Taken 6 picks ahead of ADP, finished WR64 against a WR36 slot expectation, averaged 6.3 PPG, and played 9 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 37.5 · Production 25.3 · Availability 71.5 · Expectations 0
8.12
#96
Cam SkatteboCam SkatteboRB31 · 16.0 PPG · 8/16 games
NYGADP 101.0
A fair return on the pick. Taken 5 picks ahead of ADP, finished RB31, averaged 16.0 PPG, and played 8 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 39.6 · Production 71.8 · Availability 67.1 · Expectations 36.3
9.01
#97
Colston LovelandColston LovelandTE18 · 10.1 PPG · 9/16 games
CHIADP 112.0
A bust. Taken 15 picks ahead of ADP, finished TE18 against a TE10 slot expectation, averaged 10.1 PPG, and played 9 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 18.8 · Production 45.5 · Availability 71.5 · Expectations 12
10.12
#120
Kyle WilliamsKyle WilliamsWR102 · 2.2 PPG · 1/16 gamesNEExp ~192
A bust. Taken 72 picks ahead of expectation, finished WR102 against a WR55 slot expectation, averaged 2.2 PPG, and played 1 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 0 · Production 2.9 · Availability 8 · Expectations 0
11.01
#121
Tank BigsbyTank BigsbyRB76 · 1.2 PPG · 1/16 games
PHIADP 134.0
A bust. Taken 13 picks ahead of ADP, finished RB76 against a RB42 slot expectation, averaged 1.2 PPG, and played 1 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 22.9 · Production 9.6 · Availability 8 · Expectations 0
12.12
#144
C.J. StroudC.J. StroudQB20 · 14.3 PPG · 10/16 games
HOUADP 123.0
A fair return on the pick. Drafted 21 picks after ADP, finished QB20 against a QB16 slot expectation, averaged 14.3 PPG, and played 10 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 93.8 · Production 37.3 · Availability 75.9 · Expectations 10
13.01
#145
Minnesota Vikings D/STMinnesota Vikings D/STD/ST8 · 7.1 PPG · 10/16 gamesMINADP 122.0
A solid return on the pick. Drafted 23 picks after ADP, finished D/ST8 against a D/ST3 slot expectation, averaged 7.1 PPG, and played 10 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 97.9 · Production 43 · Availability 75.9 · Expectations 21.7
14.12
#168
Isaiah LikelyIsaiah LikelyTE28 · 7.2 PPG · 5/16 games
BALADP 202.0
A bust. Taken 34 picks ahead of ADP, finished TE28 against a TE18 slot expectation, averaged 7.2 PPG, and played 5 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 0 · Production 18.7 · Availability 44.8 · Expectations 0
15.01
#169
J.J. McCarthyJ.J. McCarthyQB28 · 10.8 PPG · 5/16 gamesMINADP 136.0
A disappointing return. Drafted 33 picks after ADP, finished QB28 against a QB19 slot expectation, averaged 10.8 PPG, and played 5 of 16 scheduled games.
Value 100 · Production 18.9 · Availability 44.8 · Expectations 0
Tremendous late-round value. Drafted 16 picks after ADP, finished K6 against a K12 slot expectation, averaged 8.4 PPG, and played all 16 scheduled games.
Value 83.3 · Production 60.9 · Availability 100 · Expectations 83.3
